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VOOV Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: VOOV's low implied volatility and stable historical returns suggest a potential for moderate gains, supported by strong institutional investment and consistent mean-reverting action.



Bearish Case: Elevated put option volume and concerns about VOOV's underperformance compared to broader indices may signal potential downside, exacerbated by market volatility and economic uncertainties.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Moderate growth at 35% probability.
  • Market-driven decline at 30% probability.
  • Stable, sideways movement at 25% probability.
  • Sudden surge due to external factors at 10% probability.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread strategy by selling VOOV 190.00 Puts while buying 192.00 Puts, exploiting lower volatility and capturing decay. This positions for a stable or subtly bullish move, aligning with the observed price stability. High reward: risk and positive edge over a 1-2 month outlook.


February 14, 2025


Vanguard S&P 500 Value Forecast

VOOV        Vanguard S&P 500 Value

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VOOV


SPYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYV  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value (1.0)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.99)


SPLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLV  Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility (0.98)


USMV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USMV  BTC iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor (0.97)


UDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDOW  ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VOOV


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (-0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.0)


SDIV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDIV  Global X SuperDividend (0.01)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VOOV


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.81)


BP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BP  BP (-0.82)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.83)


BLDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BLDP  Ballard Power Systems (-0.85)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)







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