VVI Forecast


Bullish Case: The historical return surface indicates a robust likelihood of positive returns within 1-2 years, especially for longer holding periods. Analyst sentiments and potential upcoming positive catalysts may drive VVI's price upwards.


Bearish Case: Despite potential positive signals, a high P/B ratio (5.1) coupled with recent insider selling raises concerns about overvaluation. Negative news from Vivoryon could exacerbate downward pressure on VVI.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive catalyst (30% chance) driving prices upwards;

2) Continued volatility due to market conditions (40% chance);

3) Regulatory challenges or setback news from Vivoryon (25% chance);

4) Neutral market response to earnings (5% chance).


Trading Oracle: Leverage a bullish strategy by initiating a debit spread with VVI 40.00 C and 45.00 C for August 2024, exploiting high implied volatility. Allocate funds to capitalize on potential upside in the upcoming financial results, targeting a 65% probability of profit.


July 25, 2024


Viad Forecast

VVI      Viad











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ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.9)


H Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   H  Hyatt Hotels (0.89)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VVI



ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.0)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.0)


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (0.0)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (0.0)


NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VVI



SRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRS  ProShares UltraShort Real Estate (-0.8)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.8)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.82)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.84)





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