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Z Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Zillow’s innovative programs and improving market dynamics could boost user engagement and revenue. Current volatility signals potential upside in its market positioning as consumers adapt to changing conditions.

Bearish Case: Persistent high mortgage rates, affordability issues, and market uncertainty may dampen demand, pressuring margins and revenue. Implied volatility suggests market skepticism persists despite new initiatives.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Market recovery boosts revenues (40%),

2. High rates constrain growth (40%),

3. Innovative solutions drive engagement (20%).

May 22, 2025

Zillow Forecast

Z Zillow

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with Z

SOFI SoFi (0.95)

EXPE Expedia (0.93)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.93)

UPST Upstart (0.92)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to Z

OUST Ouster (-0.0)

UNH Unitedhealth (0.0)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (0.0)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.02)

IMO Imperial Oil (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against Z

STM New York Shares (-0.72)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.74)

XP XP (-0.76)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.78)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.84)

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