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Bullish Case: Surging Bitcoin prices and anticipation of the Bitcoin halving elevate MSTR's vast BTC holdings, generating potential substantial appreciation in its asset base and stock price.


Bearish Case: Increased regulation, potential adverse developments in the crypto market, and high dependency on Bitcoin price fluctuations could negatively impact MSTR's market valuation.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Bitcoin rally continues boosting MSTR, 60% chance;

2) Regulatory crackdown dampens growth, 30% chance;

3) Bitcoin volatility adversely impacts MSTR, 10% chance.


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April 23, 2024


Microstrategy Forecast

MSTR        Microstrategy
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSTR



COIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COIN  Coinbase (0.97)


CR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CR  Crane (0.96)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (0.94)


SCHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHG  Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth (0.93)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.93)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MSTR



PSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSA  Public Storage (-0.0)


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (-0.0)


FTNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTNT  Fortinet (-0.0)


F Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   F  Ford Motor (0.01)


TXN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TXN  Texas Instruments (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSTR



PFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PFE  Pfizer (-0.87)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.89)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.9)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.91)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TECS  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.92)





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