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ALHC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ALHC's consistent historical price mean reversion, coupled with high call volume, suggests potential for rebound supported by healthcare reform optimism.

Bearish Case: Downside risks present as ALHC faces economic pressures, with elevated implied volatility and regulatory challenges possibly deterring investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes: 40% Healthcare reform boosts ALHC by 10%; 30% Economic pressures cause a 5% decline; 20% Stable performance; 10% Regulatory impact leads to a 3% drop.

June 18, 2025

Alignment Healthcare Forecast

ALHC Alignment Healthcare

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ALHC

PPL PPL (0.91)

COMP Compass (0.9)

ATO Atmos Energy (0.88)

VRSN Verisign (0.85)

PAYX Paychex (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ALHC

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (0.01)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (-0.02)

HL Hecla Mining (-0.02)

KKR KKR (0.02)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ALHC

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.9)

CVE Cenovus Energy (-0.9)

KSS Kohl's (-0.91)

NVO Novo Nordisk (-0.91)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.92)

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