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AMD Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: AMD's strategic positioning in the booming AI and data center markets, combined with potential earnings growth from product launches, suggests a significant upside price movement amid strong demand. Estimated 70% chance of growth.

Bearish Case: Persistent insider selling and export restrictions, along with emerging competition from rivals like Nvidia, indicate potential downward pressure on AMD's stock. Estimated 60% chance of price decline.

Potential Outcomes: 70% chance: Strong Q4 earnings due to AI demand.
20% chance: Market reaction negative due to export restrictions.
10% chance: Tech sector volatility influences AMD adversely.

Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bullish debit spread with AMD options, specifically targeting strikes around $145 to $150 by January expiration. The elevated implied volatility makes this region attractive for capturing potential price increases, while limiting risk. Focus on maximum leverage with defined risk profiles as sentiment aligns more bullishly in Q1 2025.

December 05, 2024

Advanced Micro Devices Forecast

AMD Advanced Micro Devices

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AMD

SMCI Super Micro Computer (0.69)

LRCX Lam Research (0.68)

USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (0.67)

GNTX Gentex (0.65)

ANET Arista Networks (0.64)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AMD

TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)

BYD Boyd Gaming (0.0)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (0.0)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.01)

XPO XPO Logistics (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AMD

EVRG Evergy (-0.59)

HR Healthcare Realty Trust (-0.6)

BKH Black Hills (-0.6)

HDB HDFC (-0.62)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.63)

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