ARKF Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Implied volatility is moderate, and historical returns show positive likelihood, suggesting fintech innovations may drive ARKF higher.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and regulatory unpredictability could lead to downturns, amplifying recent negative price action.




Potential Outcomes: 0% chance ARKF rises on fintech news; 30% remains flat amidst uncertainty; 40% falls on regulation impacts.




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May 04, 2025


ARK Fintech Innovation Forecast

ARKF        ARK Fintech Innovation











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ARKF



RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.96)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.96)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (0.94)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.94)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ARKF



ETNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETNB  89bio (0.01)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBY  Best Buy (0.01)


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.01)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (-0.01)


LU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LU  Lufax Holding Ltd (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ARKF



BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.78)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.78)


SPDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPDN  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.8)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.8)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.84)









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