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BCO Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: BCO's expansion into digital security and stable historical returns suggest growth potential. Low implied volatility presents opportunity for strategic entry.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility reflects market uncertainty and insider selling. Concerns about adapting to tech and cybersecurity challenges could financially strain BCO.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable outlook, mild gain: 30%.

2. Unexpected tech disruption impacts: 25%.

3. Insider activity suggests downturn: 25%.

4. Innovation drives unexpected gain: 20%.

Trading Oracle: Short BCO's implied volatility with a credit spread. Sell March $90 puts and buy $85 puts. High reward:risk and probability of profit due to elevated volatility and low trading volume supports the strategy.

February 04, 2025

Brink's Forecast

BCO Brink's

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BCO

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (0.94)

KO Coca-Cola (0.9)

ATI Allegheny (0.83)

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.83)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BCO

BKSY BlackSky Technology (-0.0)

AEHR Aehr Test Systems (0.0)

EH EHang Holdings Ltd - (-0.01)

SBUX Starbucks (0.01)

CZR Caesars Entertainment (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BCO

HTZ Hertz Global Holdings (-0.77)

DV DoubleVerify (-0.77)

WST West Pharmaceutical Services (-0.78)

CRNC Cerence (-0.79)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.88)

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