BDX Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BDX's strategic spinoff and share repurchase might boost shareholder value, supported by strong revenue growth and a favorable historical price return surface.




Bearish Case: BDX faces risks of earnings void from the spinoff and elevated market uncertainty, as Helium's volatility forecast exceeds the market's.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance BDX stabilizes around current levels as dividends and share buybacks support price.
  • 30% chance of moderate growth if spinoff excites investors.
  • 20% risk of decline if market conditions worsen or spinoff impacts earnings.




Trading Oracle: With bullish risk outweighing bearish and volatility higher in Helium models, a bullish long volatility strategy aligns well, leveraging potential share price increases from strategic corporate moves and market confidence.



March 05, 2025


Becton, Dickinson And Company Forecast

BDX        Becton, Dickinson And Company











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Assets that tend to move strongly with BDX



LEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEG  Leggett & Platt (0.53)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.52)


FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FMC  FMC (0.5)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (0.5)


PPG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPG  PPG Industries (0.5)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BDX



VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (0.01)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.01)


ENS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENS  Enersys (0.01)


IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IR  Ingersoll-Rand (0.02)


MIDU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MIDU  Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3x Shares (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BDX



FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (-0.44)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.45)


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.48)


TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (-0.49)


LMND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LMND  Lemonade (-0.51)









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