BDX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: BDX's share buyback and dividend announcement signals strong financial confidence. Combined with favorable healthcare trends and lower market volatility, upside potential is reinforced.




Bearish Case: SEC penalties and a negative price correlation with historical patterns pose risks. High put-call volume disparity may indicate bearish sentiment, compounded by lower trading volumes.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% likelihood of moderate upside with share repurchase and mean-reverting patterns.
  • 40% chance of trading within range due to recent SEC settlement.
  • 15% risk of decline given high implied volatility.




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish put credit spread by selling the $235 put and buying the $230 put, leveraging a 75% probability of profit. Focus on capturing premium as BDX benefits from share buybacks and stabilizing volatility, targeting 21 days for optimal return.



February 01, 2025


Becton, Dickinson And Company Forecast

BDX        Becton, Dickinson And Company











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BDX



FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (0.0)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.01)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (-0.01)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BDX



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MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (-0.47)


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GME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GME  Gamestop (-0.51)









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