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COCO Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Bullish momentum is driven by recent earnings surprises, alongside increased brand visibility and strong demand for healthy beverages. The low historical volatility suggests potential upside as COCO capitalizes on health trends.



Bearish Case: Concerns arise from elevated market uncertainties, especially with the significant volume of put options traded. Potential overvaluation and external economic pressures could lead to a corrective downturn in prices.



Potential Outcomes:

1.

**20%

** chance of 10% price increase due to positive earnings.

2.

**25%

** chance of a stagnation near current levels due to mixed market signals.

3.

**40%

** chance COCO retraces significantly (10-15%) driven by external market factors if trends shift.

4.

**15%

** chance of a strong rebound as health trends gain traction.



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November 14, 2024


Vita Coco Forecast

COCO        Vita Coco

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BILI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BILI  Bilibili (0.76)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (0.76)


VNET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNET  VNET (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COCO


LRMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRMR  Larimar Therapeutics (-0.0)


SWK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWK  Stanley Black & Decker (0.0)


DQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DQ  Daqo New Energy (-0.0)


NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.0)


EFX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFX  Equifax (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COCO


STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (-0.68)


ACHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACHC  Acadia Healthcare (-0.68)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.69)


ZBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZBH  Zimmer Biomet (-0.71)


CYTK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CYTK  Cytokinetics (-0.74)







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