CODI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong insider buying, acquisitions, and improved management could propel growth in diverse sectors.




Bearish Case: High debt levels and market volatility signal potential downside risk for CODI, despite recent strategic moves.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Successful acquisition integration: 40%
  • Market correction: 30%
  • Debt issues exacerbate: 20%
  • General market downturn: 10%




Trading Oracle: Consider a neutral-to-bearish approach. Trade a debit spread: buy a March $20 put, sell a March $17.5 put. This strategy leverages backwardation in term structure and potential downside, with a 50-day outlook. Maximizes reward:risk under current volatility.



January 28, 2025


Compass Diversified Forecast

CODI        Compass Diversified











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CODI



QLYS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QLYS  Qualys (0.77)


HST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HST  Host Hotels & Resorts (0.72)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (0.68)


LSCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LSCC  Lattice Semiconductor (0.68)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (0.67)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CODI



TRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRV  Travelers Companies (0.0)


FCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCX  Freeport-McMoRan (-0.0)


RIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIO  Rio Tinto (0.01)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (-0.01)


TNK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNK  Teekay Tankers (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CODI



FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.55)


CDNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CDNA  Caredx (-0.58)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.6)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.61)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.62)









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