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CODI Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: CODI's strong recent option volume, especially calls, suggests that investors are optimistic. If upcoming earnings exceed expectations, this could generate positive momentum and drive prices above $25.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility signals significant uncertainty. If CODI fails to demonstrate growth post-acquisition or if macroeconomic conditions worsen, prices could drop sharply below $20.

Potential Outcomes: Positive earnings report: 40% probability.
Market correction leading to price drop: 30% probability.
Successful integration yielding growth: 20% probability.
General economic downturn impacts stock: 10% probability.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: Buy a $22.50 call and sell a $25 call, aiming for an expiry in about 60 days. High implied volatility gives favorable odds for a strong price movement, leveraging potential growth while managing risk.

December 13, 2024

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CODI Compass Diversified

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CODI

GTLS Chart Industries (0.75)

BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy (0.72)

GEF Greif (0.67)

HP Helmerich & Payne (0.65)

ABNB Airbnb (0.63)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CODI

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.0)

DOCN DigitalOcean (-0.0)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (0.0)

HBAN Huntington Bancshares (0.0)

HACK ETFMG Prime Cyber Security (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CODI

KO Coca-Cola (-0.53)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.55)

AMED Amedisys (-0.56)

SAVA Cassava Sciences (-0.59)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.65)

CODI News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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