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COLM Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Upcoming innovative product lines and strong brand loyalty may drive consumer interest, boosting sales and positioning COLM for rebound if tariff impacts are mitigated.



Bearish Case: Heightened tariffs and economic downturn risks may decrease consumer spending, causing prolonged stock pressure and impacting revenues.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. 35% chance of a 10% drop due to tariffs and economic pressures.
  2. 30% probability of flat performance amidst market uncertainty.
  3. 25% possibility of a mild 5% gain from effective cost mitigation strategies.
  4. 10% chance of rebound if market conditions improve swiftly.


April 19, 2025


Columbia Sportswear Forecast

COLM        Columbia Sportswear

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COLM


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (0.66)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.63)


TTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TTI  Tetra Technologies (0.6)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (0.6)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.56)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COLM


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LNG  Cheniere Energy (0.0)


ZROZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZROZ  PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (-0.01)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.01)


HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (-0.01)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COLM


AMGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMGN  AMGEN (-0.34)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.36)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (-0.37)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.41)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.43)







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