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DIS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Disney's strong brand, subscriber growth, and park expansions drive revenues. Upcoming Abu Dhabi park adds new market potential and strategic diversification.

Bearish Case: Streaming competition, high operational costs, and political challenges undermine Disney's growth, with mean-reverting price action signaling potential downturns.

Potential Outcomes: Positive streaming and parks growth (45% chance).
Political/economic challenges hinder expansion (30%).
Operational cost increase squeezes margins (25%).

May 14, 2025

Walt Disney Forecast

DIS Walt Disney

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIS

AMZN Amazon.com (0.82)

FSK FS KKR (0.8)

TTI Tetra Technologies (0.8)

FRSH Freshworks (0.79)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.77)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIS

CZR Caesars Entertainment (0.0)

ADI Analog Devices (0.01)

SAN Banco Santander (-0.01)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.01)

SIG Signet Jewelers (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIS

TMDX Transmedics (-0.6)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.62)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.63)

SPDN Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares (-0.64)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.65)

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