HZO Forecast


Bullish Case: HZO shows a strong potential gain likelihood on holding periods under 1 year. Predicted acquisition by OneWater at $40/share or improved liquidity could drive price increases.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility in short-term options and historical mean reversion indicate potential downside risks. Insider selling and missed earnings could also undermine confidence.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Acquisition at $40/share (50%).

2. Price correction due to overvaluation or market challenges (30%).

3. Price gains due to holding period historical returns and M&A (20%).


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July 16, 2024


Marinemax Forecast

HZO      Marinemax











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