GLNG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GLNG is well-positioned to capitalize on the rising LNG demand and successful FLNG redeployment. The bullish risk exceeds bearish risk by 24%, and options activity suggests growing interest.




Bearish Case: Continued mean reversion and operational challenges present downside risks. Implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, compounded by geopolitical tensions affecting LNG trade.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful FLNG redeployment boosts share price: 45%.

2. Elevated costs limit growth: 35%.

3. Geopolitical risks affect demand: 20%.




Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish call debit spread—buy $43 calls, sell $45 calls expiring in ~60 days. Current volatility favors this strategy, offering defined risk with a positive risk-reward ratio.



February 12, 2025


Golar Lng Forecast

GLNG        Golar Lng











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GLNG



BCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCS  Barclays (0.95)


CRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRS  Carpenter Technology (0.95)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.94)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.94)


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GLNG



HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.0)


UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (-0.0)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.01)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (0.01)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GLNG



CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (-0.9)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (-0.91)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.92)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.94)









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