HNI Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong market momentum and positive historical returns indicate HNI is likely to continue its upward trend, supported by favorable macroeconomic conditions and robust demand in key markets.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical mean-reversion tendencies suggest potential for significant downward corrections. Economic uncertainties and competition pressures could impact HNI’s profitability.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Sustained uptrend (55%).

2. Short-term correction (30%).

3. Increased volatility due to unforeseen events (15%).


Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish debit spread targeting 1-2 months horizon. Select deep ITM calls around $40. Manage risk with a stop loss at $45. Capitalize on short-term momentum and higher implied volatility, balancing favorable AI forecast with historical mean-reversion patterns. This setup ensures positive edge and high reward:risk ratio.


July 16, 2024


HNI Forecast

HNI      HNI











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HNI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.84)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.38)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.74)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HNI



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.38)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.74)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.75)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.84)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HNI



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.84)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.38)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (-0.74)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.75)





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