IAC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: IAC's diversified portfolio and positive social media sentiment could drive a price recovery. Increased call option volumes (84% over puts) indicate rising investor confidence, which may lead to a rebound towards $50-$55.




Bearish Case: Current high implied volatility (159.67%) signals market uncertainty, exacerbated by bearish sentiment due to historical negative price returns (-20.4% YoY). This could push prices down towards $35.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. Price rebound above $50 (30% chance)
  • 2. Price decline below $35 (50% chance)
  • 3. Stabilization between $40-$45 (20% chance)




Trading Oracle: Consider a bearish credit spread by selling the December 2024 $45 calls and buying December 2024 $50 calls. With high implied volatility, capitalize on potential price stagnation to achieve a 70% probability of profit, targeting a 24% return on investment.



December 21, 2024


IAC InterActiveCorp. Forecast

IAC        IAC InterActiveCorp.











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PRAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRAA  PRA (0.56)


ARKG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKG  ARK Investment Management LLC - ARK Genomic Revolution (0.56)


ABSI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABSI  Absci (0.54)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IAC



DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (0.0)


BOIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOIL  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.0)


LYV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYV  Live Nation Entertainment (0.0)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (-0.01)


RVLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVLV  Revolve (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IAC



SCHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SCHW  Charles Schwab (-0.34)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.36)


GPRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GPRK  Geopark (-0.43)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.44)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.51)









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