AI IVV Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: A bullish case arises from strong corporate earnings and economic resilience expected to continue, leading to steady IVV growth. Low implied volatility suggests potential for upside as volatility trends are flat, indicating stability among investors.


Bearish Case: The bearish outlook suggests a 5-10% correction as stretched valuations and market uncertainties could unearth profit-taking. High recent implied volatility indicates that the market is pricing in significant downside risks, potentially spooking investors.


Potential Outcomes:

1) 30% chance of modest gains as effective earnings boost market confidence;

2) 50% chance of sideways movement as macroeconomic events unfold;

3) 20% chance of a deeper 15-20% correction due to unexpected economic shocks.


Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread buying IVV 566 calls and selling IVV 570 calls with a 14-day expiry, targeting a stable outlook and capturing potential upside. The strategy is aligned with near-term favorable volatility levels, providing a high probability of profit.


August 24, 2024


BTC iShares Core S&P 500 Forecast

IVV      BTC iShares Core S&P 500











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IVV



SPYG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYG  SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth (1.0)


SPLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPLG  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (1.0)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (1.0)


SPXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXL  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (1.0)


VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (1.0)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IVV



CFLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CFLT  Confluent (0.0)


W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.01)


MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (-0.01)


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IVV



MED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MED  Medifast (-0.94)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.95)


SQQQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SQQQ  ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.99)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-1.0)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-1.0)





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