KRC Forecast


Bullish Case: KRC's mean-reversion history and positive implied volatility term structure suggest potential for moderate recovery. Insider purchases or positive earnings could drive price gains.


Bearish Case: With KRC trading at significant long-term lows and bearish vol surface, weak fundamentals and external factors like rate hikes could push it further down.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate upside with stable economic conditions (40%).

2. Continuation of current underperformance due to macro factors (60%).


Trading Oracle: Execute a short-term bearish credit spread targeting November 2024 with a high strike price. Backwardation and high implied volatility favor this. High implied volatility creates profitable credit spreads.


June 23, 2024


Kilroy Realty Forecast

KRC      Kilroy Realty











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