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LW Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The board overhaul boosts strategic directions, aligning investor expectations. If operational improvements materialize, prices could surge above the implied volatility baseline, capitalizing on new leadership dynamics.

Bearish Case: Ongoing economic pressures and declining restaurant demand, together with elevated volatility, might further drive down stock prices, reflecting market sentiment and JANA’s influence neglecting immediate positive changes.

Potential Outcomes: Price stability (30%): Contango term structure and minor sentiment shifts.
Further decline (50%): Economic pressures persist, high volatility.
Short-term rise (20%): If board changes are positively received.

July 02, 2025

Lamb Weston Forecast

LW Lamb Weston

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LW

HST Host Hotels & Resorts (0.87)

SAM Boston Beer Co. (0.84)

SPCE Virgin Galactic (0.84)

SBH Sally Beauty (0.81)

DIN Dine Brands (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LW

BILI Bilibili (-0.0)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.01)

RJF Raymond James Financial (0.01)

XP XP (-0.01)

UAL United Airlines (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LW

EVRG Evergy (-0.69)

LRN Stride (-0.71)

GFI Gold Fields (-0.71)

OKTA Okta (-0.72)

FNV Franco-Nevada (-0.72)

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