LW Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Helium's implied volatility and AI forecast suggest modest upside. Elevated implied volatility in the near term alongside strong fundamentals may drive positive sentiment.


Bearish Case: Recent volatility spikes, lawsuit implications, and high P/B ratio could weigh on stock. Historical price return surface illustrates high relative likelihood of negative returns over shorter holding periods.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Modest increase driven by improved AI forecast (40%).

2) Price drop due to legal and operational challenges (45%).

3) Price stability with balanced risk and Return (15%).


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June 18, 2024


Lamb Weston Forecast

LW      Lamb Weston











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LW



MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (0.85)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (0.84)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.83)


ARWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARWR  Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (0.82)


SONY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SONY  Sony Group Corporation (0.82)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LW



NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.0)


ARKW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKW  ARK Next Generation Internet (-0.0)


TWST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWST  Twist Bioscience (-0.0)


MRVL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRVL  Marvell Technology (0.0)


CG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CG  Carlyle (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LW



MRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MRO  Marathon Oil (-0.74)


AR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AR  Antero Resources (-0.78)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.8)


RRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRC  Range Resources (-0.81)


CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.84)





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