LW Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Strong institutional support, positive earnings estimates, and new board appointments highlight a growth trajectory for LW.


Bearish Case: Ongoing ERP system issues, potential sales loss, and high litigation risk pose significant downside threats.


Potential Outcomes: Potential Increase (35%) due to strong institutional support and analyst buy ratings. Decline (45%) driven by ERP issues and recent trends. Steady (20%) given mixed signals in fundamental and technical analyses.


Trading Oracle: Trade a bearish credit spread with a short-term view. Sell one $80.0 strike call, buy two $82.5 strike calls expiring in ~7 days. Positive edge, 83% profit odds. High reward:risk and high probability of profit given recent volatility data and term structure.


July 14, 2024


Lamb Weston Forecast

LW      Lamb Weston











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LW



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.55)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.46)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.63)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LW



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.3)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.46)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.55)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.63)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LW



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.55)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.46)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.3)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.63)





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