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MANU Forecast


Bullish Case: Recent volatility trends indicate potential positive price movement for MANU, especially as earnings reports approach and market sentiment shifts toward optimism, supported by decreased implied volatility over time.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and significant put volume suggest downward pressure on MANU's price, with possible declines exacerbated by ongoing negative sentiment and upcoming earnings uncertainty.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% likelihood of a recovery to $20 driven by strong earnings.

2. 30% chance of stabilizing around $18.

3. 30% risk of a drop to $15 influenced by negative sentiment and high put trading activity.



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy with a long call spread for MANU, targeting $19.00 calls while selling $21.00 calls. This approach capitalizes on expected volatility contraction post-earnings, providing a high reward-to-risk ratio with positive edge.


November 13, 2024


Manchester United Plc. Forecast

MANU        Manchester United Plc.

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MANU


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.74)


IJH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IJH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap (0.73)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (0.7)


AVXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVXL  Anavex Life Sciences (0.68)


CHTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHTR  Charter Communications (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MANU


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (-0.0)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.0)


URNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URNM  North Shore Global Uranium Mining (0.0)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (-0.01)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MANU


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (-0.6)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (-0.61)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.65)


TRMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMB  Trimble (-0.66)


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (-0.82)







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