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MAR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Marriott’s global expansion and strong brand equity are driving revenue growth, supported by stable implied volatility trends and increased call options volume.

Bearish Case: The mean-reverting price action and high P/B ratio highlight risks of overvaluation and potential downward corrections, especially with market uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: Stable revenue growth from expansion (60%).
Market fluctuations due to volatility (25%).
Insider activities impacting sentiment (15%).

May 09, 2025

Marriott International Forecast

MAR Marriott International

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MAR

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HAS Hasbro (-0.01)

CC Chemours (0.01)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MAR

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BMRN Registered Shares (-0.55)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.63)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.73)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.73)

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