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MC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MC continues to exhibit strong M&A activity, with increased call option volume suggesting investor confidence. Historical returns indicate bullish potential over longer holding periods.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent flat price action suggest lingering skepticism. Cost pressures and insider sales could impede upward momentum, risking a downturn.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong M&A activity drives growth: 35%.

2. Flat due to market volatility: 45%.

3. Cost pressures cause decline: 20%.

Trading Oracle: Sell short-term OTM calls to capitalize on high implied volatility and potential flat price action. Consider a strategic shift to debit spreads if call volumes remain elevated and M&A momentum strengthens.

February 05, 2025

Moelis Forecast

MC Moelis

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MC

KKR KKR (0.95)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.94)

EXLS Exlservice Hldgs (0.94)

BCS Barclays (0.94)

VOO Vanguard S&P 500 (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MC

YELP Yelp (0.0)

PLTK Playtika (-0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

DKNG DraftKings (-0.01)

RMBS Rambus (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MC

DVN Devon Energy (-0.87)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.87)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.89)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)

DOG ProShares Short Dow30 (-0.96)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.