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MCD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MCD's digital sales surge, global market expansions, and innovative menu additions position it for growth, especially with high call volume and bullish risk sentiment.

Bearish Case: Competitive pressures, soaring operational costs, and potential geopolitical tensions pose risks to MCD's growth, alongside high implied volatility reflecting market uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: Sales boost from digital and menu innovation (55%)
Competitive pressures dampen growth (25%)
Geopolitical risks impact operations (15%)
Market stability aids recovery (5%)

April 26, 2025

McDonald's Forecast

MCD McDonald's

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCD

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ORLY O'Reilly Automotive (0.83)

AGI Alamos Gold (0.83)

USMV BTC iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCD

STLD Steel Dynamics (0.01)

DAN Dana (0.01)

DKS Dicks Sporting Goods (0.01)

PHM PulteGroup (-0.02)

FLR Fluor (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCD

AGEN Agenus (-0.78)

NFE New Fortress Energy (-0.79)

ATKR Atkore (-0.79)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.81)

CLW Clearwater Paper (-0.85)

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