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MPW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Acquisition news or successful debt reduction could restore confidence, stabilizing operations and driving MPW's stock upwards amidst a recovering healthcare sector.



Bearish Case: Continued financial struggles and potential further dividend cuts could lead to additional stock price declines, maintaining negative investor sentiment and high volatility.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. (30%) Successful debt management improves stock price.
  • 2. (40%) Further financial deterioration leads to dividend cuts.
  • 3. (20%) Market stabilization preserves current valuations.
  • 4. (10%) Unexpected favorable events drive significant recovery.



Trading Oracle: A bearish strategy appears optimal by implementing a debit spread, buying $3.5 puts and selling $3 puts, aiming for expiration in 17 days. This positions you to profit from potential price drops while leveraging high implied volatility, ensuring a strong risk-reward ratio.


December 18, 2024


Medical Properties Forecast

MPW        Medical Properties

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MPW


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (0.72)


TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.71)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.71)


ZTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZTO  ZTO Express (Cayman) (0.68)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.65)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPW


LUMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUMN  Lumen (0.01)


LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (0.01)


SPTN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPTN  SpartanNash (0.01)


COIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COIN  Coinbase (0.01)


SUI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUI  Sun Communities (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPW


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.62)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.62)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.63)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (-0.64)


DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.68)







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