ZTO Forecast


Bullish Case: ZTO demonstrates robust parcel volume growth and increasing market share, which alongside mean-reverting price action suggests upside potential, possibly rebounding to $24.


Bearish Case: ZTO has faced persistent declines and flat price action, with low implied volatility suggesting limited catalysts for recovery.


Potential Outcomes: 60% chance ZTO stabilizes around $20-$22; 30% chance it declines to $18; 10% chance it rallies to $24.


Trading Oracle: Sell an ATM put spread, such as $21/$20, expiring 45 days out to capitalize on inflated volatility and limited downside risk. Capture theta decay in a mean-reverting price action environment.


July 23, 2024


ZTO Express (Cayman) Forecast

ZTO      ZTO Express (Cayman)











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ZTO



ASHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASHR  Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares (0.92)


CHAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHAU  Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares (0.9)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.88)


MCHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHI  BTC iShares MSCI China (0.88)


FNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNV  Franco-Nevada (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ZTO



ETSY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETSY  Etsy (0.0)


SON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SON  Sonoco Products (-0.0)


OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (0.0)


CIFR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIFR  Cipher Mining (-0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ZTO



AFRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFRM  Affirm (-0.86)


SUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SUN  Sunoco (-0.86)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.87)


X Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   X  United States Steel (-0.91)


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (-0.91)





Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with ZTO


 Ask any question about ZTO!