NDAQ Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Nasdaq's focus on technology and strategic acquisitions positions it for growth, with robust financial performance and potential IPO activity driving positive sentiment. Strong historical returns bolster this outlook.




Bearish Case: High volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties, including regulatory challenges, pose risks. Any negative economic shifts or tech sector downturns could hinder Nasdaq's growth prospects.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Resilience in tech and new IPOs boost NDAQ (45% probability).
  • Market declines due to instability (35% probability).
  • Regulatory changes impact growth (20% probability).




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May 15, 2025


Nasdaq Forecast

NDAQ        Nasdaq











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NDAQ



XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.96)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.95)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.95)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.94)


CRH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRH  CRH Plc (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NDAQ



FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (0.0)


RPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPD  Rapid7 (0.0)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.01)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.01)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NDAQ



SBLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBLK  Star Bulk Carriers (-0.71)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.71)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.72)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.72)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.72)









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