PTON Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PTON's mean reversion potential and high call option volume suggest a rebound. Positive sentiment from product updates and market expansion efforts can boost demand.




Bearish Case: Ongoing profitability concerns reflected in historical challenges and high implied volatility suggest continued downside risk amidst intense competition.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Continued decline due to competition concerns.
  • 30%: Stabilization with slow growth.
  • 25%: Increased volatility impacting prices.
  • 10%: Unexpected events disrupting trends.




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May 21, 2025


Peloton Interactive Forecast

PTON        Peloton Interactive











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PTON



UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.94)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.92)


RCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RCL  Royal Caribbean (0.92)


YPF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YPF  YPF (0.91)


BYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYD  Boyd Gaming (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PTON



SAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAM  Boston Beer Co. (0.0)


UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.01)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)


NIO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NIO  NIO (0.02)


SGML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGML  Sigma Lithium (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PTON



ICLN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICLN  BTC iShares Global Clean Energy (-0.72)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.74)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.76)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.81)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.81)









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