PTON Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: PTON's mean reversion potential and high call option volume suggest a rebound. Positive sentiment from product updates and market expansion efforts can boost demand.




Bearish Case: Ongoing profitability concerns reflected in historical challenges and high implied volatility suggest continued downside risk amidst intense competition.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35%: Continued decline due to competition concerns.
  • 30%: Stabilization with slow growth.
  • 25%: Increased volatility impacting prices.
  • 10%: Unexpected events disrupting trends.




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May 21, 2025


Peloton Interactive Forecast

PTON        Peloton Interactive











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with PTON



SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.95)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.95)


UPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UPST  Upstart (0.94)


ARKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKF  ARK Fintech Innovation (0.93)


EXPE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPE  Expedia (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PTON



UUUU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUUU  Energy Fuels (0.01)


CODI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CODI  Compass Diversified (-0.01)


DECK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DECK  Deckers Outdoor (-0.01)


BBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBY  Best Buy (-0.01)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PTON



SBLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBLK  Star Bulk Carriers (-0.74)


BMRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMRN  Registered Shares (-0.74)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.76)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.81)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.87)









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