RCL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: RCL's innovative experiences and strong fleet expansion fuel optimism. Implied volatility stabilizes, suggesting potential price growth aligned with strong booking trends.




Bearish Case: Operational challenges and heightened competition may hinder growth. High implied volatility exposes risk of price declines, especially given recent backwardation.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Fleet expansion and demand boost price (50%).
  • Operational setbacks limit growth (35%).
  • Major economic downturn impacts demand (15%).



April 28, 2025


Royal Caribbean Forecast

RCL        Royal Caribbean











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with RCL



ARKF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKF  ARK Fintech Innovation (0.96)


XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.95)


IWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth (0.95)


EXPE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPE  Expedia (0.95)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to RCL



ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.0)


SMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMG  Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.0)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (-0.01)


VAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAC  Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.01)


SG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SG  Sweetgreen (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against RCL



STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.76)


KHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KHC  Kraft Heinz (-0.77)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (-0.77)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.79)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.85)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with RCL


 Ask any question about RCL!