SAM Forecast


Bullish Case: 若Boston Beer Co.能有效应对竞争压力并恢复品牌认知度,结合即将到来的啤酒节需求,SAM有可能反弹至$350,反映出显著的上行机会。




Bearish Case: 如果竞争持续加剧且消费者需求疲软,Boston Beer Co.可能面临进一步销售下滑,预计SAM价格可能下探至$250乃至更低。




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 品牌恢复与销售增长(概率:30%)
  2. 价格稳定在$300附近(概率:40%)
  3. 下滑至$250(概率:30%)




Trading Oracle: 考虑在SAM当前波动性较高的环境中建立$300-$310的牛市看涨差价策略,利用潜在的价格反弹来获得盈利。该策略具有较高的利润率与收益风险比,适合抓住近期波动性上升的机会。



December 18, 2024


Boston Beer Co. Forecast

SAM        Boston Beer Co.











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RHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RHI  Robert Half International (0.76)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (0.75)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SAM



IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (-0.0)


LUMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LUMN  Lumen (0.0)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.0)


IHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IHI  BTC iShares U.S. Medical (0.01)


SGMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGMO  Sangamo Therapeutics (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SAM



CRTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRTO  Criteo (-0.7)


TMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMO  Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.7)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (-0.7)


SA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SA  Seabridge Gold (-0.71)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (-0.77)









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