SDGR Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The implied volatility suggests potential upward movement, driven by expected positive developments in AI and ongoing momentum from previous quarters.




Bearish Case: High recent volatility and historical mean-reverting action could lead to a downside correction, particularly in light of uncertainty surrounding upcoming events.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 60% chance of sustained bullish momentum following positive research outcomes.

2. 30% likelihood of sideways movement as volatility normalizes.

3. 10% risk of a sharp decline due to negative news or earnings uncertainties.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying SDGR 11/15/2024 20C and selling 22.5C. This strategy benefits from rising volatility expectations and allows exposure to upward price movements with limited risk. Think long-term with a 65% probability of profit based on current momentum.



October 20, 2024


Schrodinger Forecast

SDGR        Schrodinger











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