SIZE Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SIZE's historical return surface shows high positive returns over longer holding periods, indicating sustained growth potential. Low implied volatility suggests stability, encouraging institutional buy-in. Strong historical performance provides a favorable outlook.




Bearish Case: Despite positive history, the implied volatility surface indicates potential short-term uncertainty. Lower volatility may mask sudden downturns due to macroeconomic shocks or market corrections, pivoting SIZE towards declines.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Price Appreciation (40%): Driven by institutional support and historical trends.
  • Sideways Movement (40%): Sustained by mixed economic indicators and stable volatility.
  • Price Decline (20%): Triggered by global economic pressures and market corrections.



June 01, 2025


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Size Factor Forecast

SIZE        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Size Factor











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Assets that tend to move strongly with SIZE



VTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTI  Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.97)


VYM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VYM  Vanguard High Dividend Yield Indx (0.95)


HBAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBAN  Huntington Bancshares (0.94)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.93)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIZE



YUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YUM  Yum Brands (0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.0)


QCOM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QCOM  Qualcomm (0.0)


PCRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCRX  Pacira BioSciences (0.0)


OUST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUST  Ouster (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIZE



TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.5)


CNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNC  Centene (-0.52)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.52)


EC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EC  Ecopetrol SA (-0.58)


STNE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNE  StoneCo (-0.59)









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