TDW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Decline in price with rising implied volatility suggests potential upward correction. Strong historical returns provide a foundation for future gains.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility, flat term structure, and recent price decline indicate potential downside risk on volatility contraction. External economic factors may amplify pressure.




Potential Outcomes: TDW stabilizes near $42 (35%), rebounds to $50 (30%), declines to $35 (35%). Observed flat volatility curve and historical patterns inform these probabilities.




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May 11, 2025


Tidewater Inc. - New Forecast

TDW        Tidewater Inc. - New











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TDW



VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.98)


CVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CVE  Cenovus Energy (0.97)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (0.95)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (0.95)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (0.95)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TDW



LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (0.0)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.0)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.0)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (0.01)


NTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTR  Nutrien (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TDW



COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (-0.89)


PPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPL  PPL (-0.9)


UNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UNM  Unum (-0.9)


CORT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORT  Corcept Therapeutics (-0.9)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.9)









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