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TMDX Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Robust organ transplantation technology and industry leadership position TMDX for potential upside despite current volatility.

Bearish Case: High insider selling, recent price drops, and competitive pressures suggest potential downward pressure on TMDX.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Steady growth driven by tech adoption (45%).

2) Price decline due to competition (30%).

3) Revenue increase from strategic partnerships (25%).

Trading Oracle: Deploy a short volatility strategy by selling $80 call options and buying $85 call options. This strategy is bearish, utilizes the volatility surface, targets February expiry with an edge due to the current high implied volatility premiums, and offers 79% odds of profit.

January 29, 2025

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