TMDX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Robust organ transplantation technology and industry leadership position TMDX for potential upside despite current volatility.




Bearish Case: High insider selling, recent price drops, and competitive pressures suggest potential downward pressure on TMDX.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Steady growth driven by tech adoption (45%).

2) Price decline due to competition (30%).

3) Revenue increase from strategic partnerships (25%).




Trading Oracle: Deploy a short volatility strategy by selling $80 call options and buying $85 call options. This strategy is bearish, utilizes the volatility surface, targets February expiry with an edge due to the current high implied volatility premiums, and offers 79% odds of profit.



January 29, 2025


Transmedics Forecast

TMDX        Transmedics











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Assets that tend to move strongly with TMDX



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AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.83)


OGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OGN  Organon (0.79)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (0.77)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TMDX



HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.0)


EPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EPR  EPR Properties (0.0)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (-0.0)


LWLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LWLG  Lightwave Logic (-0.0)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TMDX



PYCR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PYCR  Paycor HCM (-0.81)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.82)


TALK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TALK  Talkspace (-0.83)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (-0.84)


TS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TS  Tenaris S.A. (-0.87)









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