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TSM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: TSM's strategic expansion and technological leadership in AI-driven semiconductors position it for robust growth, despite current geopolitical challenges. Stable demand supports this outlook.

Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions, particularly around Taiwan, and potential supply chain disruptions pose significant risks, threatening TSM's operational stability and financial performance.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of steady growth driven by AI and semiconductor demand.
30% risk of production disruptions due to geopolitical tensions.
20% market volatility impacting stock price.

April 03, 2025

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Forecast

TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TSM

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XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.0)

VTRS Viatris (0.0)

UBER Uber (-0.01)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TSM

PSX Phillips 66 (-0.85)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.85)

WU Western Union (-0.86)

GES Guess (-0.86)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.87)

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