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UBER Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Uber's diversification into finance, autonomous rides, and food delivery positions it for sustained growth. Positive user sentiment and expanding market share reinforce this potential.



Bearish Case: Regulatory pressures and competitive challenges pose risks. Rising costs from potential driver reclassification and global economic uncertainties could limit profitability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Expansion in fintech (40%) driven by strategic market entry.
  • Regulatory intervention affecting margins (30%).
  • Rising competition impacting growth (30%).



Trading Oracle: With Uber's options in backwardation and high implied volatility, initiate a bullish call debit spread buying the 70C and selling the 75C expiring in April. This captures potential upside with managed risk, leveraging favorable volatility conditions and market trends.


February 05, 2025


Uber Forecast

UBER        Uber

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UBER


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CZR  Caesars Entertainment (0.8)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (0.67)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.64)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (0.62)


EOLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOLS  Evolus (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UBER


AFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AFL  Aflac (-0.0)


XOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XOP  SPDR Oil & Gas Exploration and Production (-0.0)


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (0.0)


SHAK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHAK  Shake Shack (-0.0)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UBER


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (-0.47)


UAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAN  CVR Partners (-0.48)


ROOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ROOT  Root (-0.5)


GME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GME  Gamestop (-0.51)


MCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCK  Mckesson (-0.54)







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