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ULTA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Ulta's strategic partnerships and strong customer loyalty underpin its growth, shown by 46% higher bullish risk. Resilience amid competition and market expansion initiatives highlight potential upside.

Bearish Case: Increased competition and tightening margins signal caution, with put options trading 41% more volume. Economic headwinds and market saturation pose significant risks to growth outlook.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance strategic initiatives drive growth.

2. 30% risk of margin pressures leading to declines.

3. 30% stabilization due to mixed signals.

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May 20, 2025

Ulta Beauty Forecast

ULTA Ulta Beauty

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ULTA

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ULTA

BAX Baxter International (-0.39)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)

KRYS Krystal Biotech (-0.43)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.45)

O Realty Income (-0.46)

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