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Bullish Case: Valens Semiconductor is positioned for recovery due to a growing backlog and strategic partnerships, particularly the recent long-term contract with Bruce Power, which may enhance revenue and market visibility.

Bearish Case: Ongoing market volatility, driven by macroeconomic uncertainties and potential supply chain disruptions, could hinder Valens Semiconductor's performance, leading to further stock declines and investor caution.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of stock resilience fueled by the nuclear sector's growth.

2. 30% chance of stabilizing as market volatility eases.

3. 20% chance of declines due to continuous economic pressures.

4. 10% chance of significant gains from unexpected strategic developments.

Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bull call spread with VLN 2.50 C options expiring 09/20/2024, leveraging high implied volatility for a low-cost entry. Focus on capturing upside exposure while hedging against downside risks due to existing market uncertainties.

August 27, 2024