VLN Forecast


Bullish Case: Strong Q4 results with 52.5% rise in bookings and positive sales forecast for FY 2025 suggest potential upside.


Bearish Case: Significant stock price decline over the last two years and market consensus of 'Strong Sell' indicate ongoing challenges.


Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of continued volatility in the short term, 30% of recovery due to improved bookings, 20% of further decline amid market uncertainties.


Trading Oracle: Utilize debit spreads with a long volatility strategy for options expiring in 2024. Target the $5.00 call options for moderate upside exposure while limiting downside risk. Consider trading July 2024 or November 2024 expiration dates given current Implied Volatility levels and trading volume.


June 28, 2024


Valens Semiconductor Forecast

VLN      Valens Semiconductor











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VLN



LILA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LILA  Liberty Latin America Ltd (0.82)


GRAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRAB  Grab Holdings Limited (0.79)


EBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EBS  Emergent Biosolutions (0.73)


AOSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AOSL  Alpha & Omega Semiconductor (0.72)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (0.72)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VLN



SON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SON  Sonoco Products (-0.0)


SLM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLM  SLM (0.0)


DDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDD  3D Systems (0.0)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (-0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VLN



UVIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVIX  VS Trust - 2x Long VIX Futures (-0.62)


LULU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LULU  Lululemon Athletica inc. (-0.62)


AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKAM  Akamai (-0.63)


APLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLE  Apple Hospitality REIT (-0.64)


MGNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGNX  Macrogenics (-0.64)





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