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DIS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Disney's strong brand, subscriber growth, and park expansions drive revenues. Upcoming Abu Dhabi park adds new market potential and strategic diversification.

Bearish Case: Streaming competition, high operational costs, and political challenges undermine Disney's growth, with mean-reverting price action signaling potential downturns.

Potential Outcomes: Positive streaming and parks growth (45% chance).
Political/economic challenges hinder expansion (30%).
Operational cost increase squeezes margins (25%).

May 14, 2025

Walt Disney Forecast

DIS Walt Disney

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DIS

AMZN Amazon.com (0.87)

QQQM Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (0.87)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.85)

AME Ametek (0.85)

ARKF ARK Fintech Innovation (0.84)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DIS

CVGW Calavo Growers (-0.0)

SIG Signet Jewelers (-0.01)

EXAS Exact Sciences (0.01)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.01)

HZO Marinemax (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DIS

CNC Centene (-0.58)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.61)

ALC Alcon (-0.61)

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.66)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.69)

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