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Bullish Case: FTAI has demonstrated robust growth (422.3% over five years), with current price momentum reflecting strong fundamentals. A P/B ratio of 1.9 suggests undervaluation, promising sustained upward trajectory. The Helium forecasts aligns, predicting positive price movements.


Bearish Case: Despite recent gains, FTAI's rapid price surge and elevated market implied volatilities suggest potential over-extension. Historical sharp corrections, combined with a low correlation to forecasts, may increase risk of significant pullbacks or increased volatility.


Potential Outcomes:

1) FTAI continues upward trend +5% (60% probability), supported by robust sector growth.

2) Price pullback -10% (25% probability), as market adjusts post-rapid gains.

3) Price stability around $70 (+/- 1%) (15% probability), reflecting market consensus.


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April 24, 2024


Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors Forecast

FTAI        Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: TRENDING (?)











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