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QQQ Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Rising institutional interest in tech and a low implied volatility environment suggest potential upticks for QQQ. Strong tech earnings and favorable economic indicators further bolster this outlook.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and backwardation hint at uncertainty. Potential economic slowdown and geopolitical risks could pressurize QQQ, leading to corrections.

Potential Outcomes: 50% QQQ stabilizes above $530 driven by strong earnings.
30% correction to $510 amid geopolitical concerns.
15% risk of falling below $500 due to unexpected shocks.
5% rise above $550 on exceeding tech growth expectations.

June 20, 2025

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 Forecast

QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with QQQ

QQQM Invesco Exchange-Traded Fund Trust II - Invesco NASDAQ 100 (1.0)

VGT Vanguard Information Technology (0.96)

QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ (0.95)

VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market (0.94)

TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to QQQ

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

AAP Advance Auto Parts (0.02)

ELF e.l.f. Beauty (-0.02)

INTC Intel (0.02)

DIN Dine Brands (-0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against QQQ

KHC Kraft Heinz (-0.5)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.55)

CNC Centene (-0.57)

STNE StoneCo (-0.58)

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.6)

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