Bullish Case: Autodesk's products see high demand amid construction sector growth, with revenue forecast above estimates. Positioning in growing VR market provides upside.


Show historical bullish cases

Bearish Case: Transition to annual payment model risks financial confusion. Exposure to cyclical end markets could spur sales decline.


Show historical bearish cases

Takeaway: Autodesk faces near-term uncertainty from its payment model transition and cyclical exposure, but retains solid long-term prospects owing to its market dominance, pricing power, high demand amid construction growth, and VR positioning. Margin pressure from reinvestments persists.


Show historical takeaways

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong construction sector demand drives further revenue growth (70%)

2. Transition to annual payments causes financial disruption (50%)

3. VR market growth boosts ADSK's competitive position (60%)

4. Cyclical downturn leads to weaker FY24 sales (30%)

5. Institutional investment rises following stake increase (55%)


September 27, 2023



Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with ADSK



REAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [REAL]  Therealreal (0.73)


WDC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WDC]  Western Digital (0.73)


VB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [VB]  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.7)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KKR]  KKR (0.7)


CZR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CZR]  Caesars Entertainment (0.69)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to ADSK



MUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MUX]  McEwen Mining (-0.0)


PLCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [PLCE]  Childrens Place (0.0)


WOLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [WOLF]  Wolfspeed (-0.0)


DXCM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [DXCM]  Dexcom (0.0)


MDLZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MDLZ]  Mondelez International (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against ADSK



SCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SCO]  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.4)


EDZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EDZ]  Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X Shares (-0.41)


AEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AEP]  American Electric Power (-0.41)


TECS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [TECS]  Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (-0.44)


SARK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SARK]  Tuttle Capital Short Innovation (-0.56)