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AIZ Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AIZ's lower implied volatility compared to SPY and strong call options volume indicate potential upward momentum as historical data suggests potential for positive mean reversion.

Bearish Case: High past implied volatility and insider selling risks could counteract bullish trends, especially if broader market sentiment shifts negatively.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of steady growth due to mean-reversion and call volume. 30% probability of stagnation due to insider sales. 10% decline risk from external factors.

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February 18, 2025

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