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APP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent acquisitions and strong ad tech position APP for sustained growth. Implied volatility suggests potential upside momentum.

Bearish Case: High valuation and regulatory risk imply potential downside, compounded by mean-reverting price history and increased put option volumes.

Potential Outcomes: Price increase due to new acquisitions and tech advancement (40%).
Regulatory challenges causing decline (30%).
Market stabilization (30%).

Trading Oracle: Bullish Short Volatility Strategy makes sense as APP's high implied volatility and bullish sentiment suggest selling ATM puts and buying OOTM puts maximizes potential profit.

March 30, 2025

Applovin Corp Forecast

APP Applovin Corp

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with APP

RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.96)

BFLY Butterfly Network (0.94)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.93)

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.93)

DFS Discover Financial Services (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to APP

OPCH Option Care Health Inc. - Registered Shares (-0.0)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (-0.01)

STLD Steel Dynamics (0.02)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.02)

LYFT Lyft (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against APP

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.83)

STM New York Shares (-0.83)

COTY Coty (-0.83)

VSAT Viasat (-0.83)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.88)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.