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AVXL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent 2.85% AVXL price forecast and insider enthusiasm suggest potential for upward momentum, supported by high call option volume.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility (187.5% for puts) and cash burn raise concerns of significant downside risk if trials disappoint or funding issues persist.

Potential Outcomes: Positive clinical trials: 30%, stock surges; Negative results: 40%, stock drops; Neutral outcomes: 20%, minimal movement; Funding issues: 10%, potential dip.

Trading Oracle: Consider a vertical call spread: buy 1 $13.0 call, sell 1 $14.0 call expiring in 17 days. High potential return (688%) and alpha, though with high risk. Aligns with the bullish outlook and increased call trading volume.

January 03, 2025

Anavex Life Sciences Forecast

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AVXL

CLPT ClearPoint Neuro (0.72)

COMM CommScope (0.71)

INFY Infosys (0.7)

DEI Douglas Emmett (0.69)

VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.67)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AVXL

DB Deutsche (0.0)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.0)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.01)

ON ON Semiconductor (0.01)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AVXL

CRON Cronos (-0.65)

LYB LyondellBasell Industries (-0.67)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.68)

ASML New York Shares (-0.7)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.74)

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