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FOLD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Amicus Therapeutics' recent exclusive license for DMX-200, combined with projected revenue growth and high implied volatility, provides a promising upside for FOLD. Strong pipeline development can further enhance stock potential.



Bearish Case: FOLD faces significant downside risks, with historic declines and high implied volatility indicating market skepticism. Financial misses and increasing competitive pressure can exacerbate investor concerns.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Regulatory success boosts revenue and stock price.
  • 30%: Continued financial struggles press stock lower.
  • 20%: Moderate fluctuations amid market volatility.
  • 10%: Strategic setbacks drive price decline.



Trading Oracle:
Employ a Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM call options and selling fewer OOTM calls, leveraging observed backwardation and convexity to capitalize on potential upside.

Explore Helium Trading Strategy Details


May 15, 2025


Amicus Therapeutics Forecast

FOLD        Amicus Therapeutics

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MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (0.81)


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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FOLD


LYFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYFT  Lyft (-0.0)


DFEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFEN  Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (-0.01)


BOX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BOX  Box (0.01)


DT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DT  Dynatrace (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FOLD


USAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAU  U.S. Gold (-0.64)


TPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TPR  Tapestry (-0.65)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (-0.67)


DAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVE  Dave (-0.67)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.71)







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