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IGM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: IGM shows a bullish outlook as institutional investors are favoring call options, alongside recovering implied volatility signals. Historical data indicates potential for rising prices over the next few years amid stabilization in tech markets.



Bearish Case: Bearish sentiment remains fueled by IGM's ongoing struggle with investor confidence post-strategic pivot, alongside high implied volatility suggesting ongoing market uncertainty that may suppress price recoveries.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 30% price recovery due to market stabilization (40% probability).
2. Continued decline by 15% driven by broader market pressure (30% probability).
3. Sideways movement with potential marginal gains (30% probability).



Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish debit spread: buy IGM 100.00C and sell IGM 102.00C expiring in December 2024. With high IV offering a favorable risk-reward scenario, execute near earnings reports for maximized return potential.


November 26, 2024


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech Sector Forecast

IGM        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech Sector

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AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.8)


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMT  Walmart (0.78)


VSCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSCO  Victoria's Secret (0.75)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (0.71)


PENN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PENN  Penn National Gaming (0.71)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IGM


MGNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGNI  Magnite (0.0)


AIQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIQ  Global X Funds - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology (-0.0)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (-0.0)


LKQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LKQ  LKQ (0.01)


BTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BTI  British American Tobacco (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IGM


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (-0.7)


SWBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SWBI  Smith & Wesson Brands (-0.71)


VLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VLO  Valero Energy (-0.71)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.72)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.73)







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