IGM Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: The implied volatility suggests the potential for upward movement with high call volume indicating bullish sentiment. Resilience from recent tech recoveries could catalyze further gains.




Bearish Case: IGM's historical mean reversion and recent high volatility imply continued downward pressure. Negative market trends and tech regulation concerns remain significant risks.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Bullish recovery driven by tech innovation (45%).

2. Prolonged bearish trend due to economic slowdown (35%).

3. Sideways consolidation (20%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread, buying IGM 108.00 C, selling IGM 106.00 P expiring in June 2025. Favorable implied volatility and high call interest suggest positive risk-reward with a six-month outlook.



February 11, 2025


BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech Sector Forecast

IGM        BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech Sector











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CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.69)


SOFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SOFI  SoFi (0.68)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IGM



OTIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OTIS  Otis Worldwide (-0.0)


EOLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOLS  Evolus (-0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.0)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (-0.0)


PI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PI  Impinj (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IGM



NOV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOV  NOV (-0.7)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (-0.7)


FANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FANG  Diamondback Energy (-0.71)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.72)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.74)









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