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MCS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential AI-driven growth and strategic refocus on lucrative sectors may propel MCS upwards. Historical mean reversion supports recovery likelihood.

Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility and economic pressures suggest downside risks. Market skepticism and fiscal challenges could hinder momentum.

Potential Outcomes: 35% chance of modest recovery driven by strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions.
45% probability of stagnation due to high volatility and economic challenges.
20% chance of sharp decline resulting from negative earnings or external shocks.

July 03, 2025

Marcus Forecast

MCS Marcus

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCS

PTON Peloton Interactive (0.96)

RJF Raymond James Financial (0.93)

UPST Upstart (0.93)

UAL United Airlines (0.92)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCS

UBER Uber (-0.0)

MTN Vail Resorts (-0.0)

SUN Sunoco (0.01)

FNV Franco-Nevada (0.01)

SU Suncor Energy (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCS

VSAT Viasat (-0.68)

AMGN AMGEN (-0.68)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.72)

TTE TotalEnergies SE (-0.74)

SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.76)

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