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MCS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MCS shows improved consumer sentiment and strategic acquisitions. Recent price action suggests resilience, supported by high implied volatility indicating potential upward momentum.

Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility and negative historical returns suggest investor anxiety, highlighting risks from economic uncertainties and overvaluation concerns.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of bullish growth driven by strategic expansions.
40% chance of stagnation due to economic pressures.
30% possibility of decline from regulatory challenges and competition.

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February 11, 2025

Marcus Forecast

MCS Marcus

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MCS

TRV Travelers Companies (0.91)

SOFI SoFi (0.9)

RVLV Revolve (0.87)

TPG TPG (0.87)

NOW ServiceNow (0.85)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCS

LEN Lennar (-0.0)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

MT New York Shares (0.01)

HCA HCA Healthcare (-0.01)

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCS

OGN Organon (-0.82)

ST Sensata (-0.84)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.84)

TNK Teekay Tankers (-0.87)

VAL Valaris (-0.88)

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