PSNL Forecast


Bullish Case: Recent collaboration with Tempus on NeXT Personal and settlement with Foresight Diagnostics could spur growth. Potentially beneficial results from ongoing cancer studies at ASCO boost confidence in a positive momentum for PSNL.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility and mean-reverting price action indicate market skepticism. Competitive pressures and potential regulatory setbacks could impede growth, leading to further declines in stock price.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Positive outcomes from MRD tests and collaborations, boosting stock (55%).

2. Competition and regulatory hurdles limit growth (30%).

3. Market uncertainties and weak investor sentiment dampen stock (15%).


Trading Oracle: Adopt a short-term bearish debit spread due to high volatility and mean-reversion. Purchase Aug 16, 2024, 2.50 Put, and sell Aug 16, 2024, 5.00 Put. This positions you to profit from potential downside while managing risk through high implied volatilities.


June 30, 2024


Personalis Forecast

PSNL      Personalis











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EDV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EDV  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (0.78)


RH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RH  RH - (0.78)


SAFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAFE  Safehold (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to PSNL



LRCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRCX  Lam Research (-0.0)


BG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BG  Bunge (0.0)


SMCI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMCI  Super Micro Computer (0.0)


MA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MA  Mastercard Incorporated (0.0)


CIVI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CIVI  Civitas Resources Inc New (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against PSNL



YCS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCS  ProShares UltraShort Yen (-0.51)


ARLP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARLP  Alliance Resource (-0.53)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.63)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.71)


TBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBF  ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury (-0.72)





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